The race to be the next leader of the Scottish National Party has unofficially just begun, you ask why, what happened?
Scotland’s unpopular First Minster Nicola Sturgeon failed to stop Scotland from leaving the European Union!
Quick tally to get you synced in.
1/ Lost the Scottish independence referendum 2014
2/ Lost the Brexit referendum of 2016.
3/ Failed to stop Scotland from leaving the European Union!
The question is when will Nicola Sturgeon stand down, will see go after the May Council elections?
The reason for speculation is that Scottish Secretary David Mundell has stated point blank, that even a Yes vote cannot stop Scotland leaving EU under Brexit.
It seems that everybody in the UK is coming out!
The threat of calling an early Holyrood election was threatened by the Nationalists as a date in 2018 was floated by people like Alex Salmond, but the political landscape of Scotland has moved past the SNP.
The SNP is yesterday’s party; it is a party without a future, without a real leader and without a purpose.
When Mundell said that Scotland will be taken out of Europe by Brexit even if there is a vote for independence, he was saying anything new, but the timing of his announcement and the language used is significant.
The SNP have fought two referendums and on each occasion, they have lost! They have lost because they don’t understand or have the ability to cope with ‘direct democracy’ or if you prefer, ‘will of the people’.
A possible future contender for leadership after an interim leader to steady the SNP ship is probably Alex Salmond. Earlier this month, Salmond claimed there could be a referendum in 2018 to ensure “continuing uninterrupted membership of the European Economic Area”. Although Salmond gets a lot wrong, this time…. He is still wrong!
There will be no “continuing uninterrupted membership” of anything, in fact you can see a situation where Westminster looking at the EU offer simply turns round and says WTO to them and walks off.
WTO is World Trade Organisation.
As things are starting to move fast, it is clear that the Nicola Sturgeon and the SNP are not part of the process, they are completely irrelevant.
Mundell is to say in his opening statement to Holyrood’s European committee about Brexit:
“I think it is important to be clear because there has been a lot of public debate on this point - that Scotland will not be in the EU at the end of this process. There is no set of circumstances in which Scotland could remain a member of the EU after the rest of the UK has left. If Scotland's constitutional position were ever to change, it would have to apply to be a member of the EU afresh - and we should not make easy assumptions about the length of time this would take, the process Scotland would have to follow or the terms of membership that may be on offer.”
If independent, Scotland would be at the back of the EU as a new State, there would be no the UK opt-outs, no opt-out on the euro and it would see an end to the rebate which came to Scotland as part of the UK.
The recent nonsense by two leading academics had said an independent Scotland could be fast-tracked into the EU; potentially by 2023 is in my opinion fantasy politics. It kind of looks like two Pro EU friendly academics has been engaged in ‘day dreaming’.
Scottish Tory MEP Ian Duncan said the pair had relied on a series of generous assumptions about EU reactions. Like the SNP, they have assumed that Scotland would get a great deal when there is no real evidence to support this.
Ukip MEP David Coburn pitched in and said it would be “catastrophic” if Scotland had to accept the euro. On that score, he is right. The Euro would break Scotland much in the same way that it has destroyed Greece.
“This would present insurmountable difficulties as Scotland’s national debt is approximately £15bn thanks to the SNP, which is higher than that of Greece. Scotland would have to suffer a greater austerity than Greece. Mad Sturgeonomics.”
If you like a flutter then you might want to see about getting a bet down on who the next leader of the Scottish National Party is, the only undeclared ‘runner’ is Alex Salmond, perhaps SNP MP Tommy Sheppard might throw his hat into the ring.
The countdown to the end of Nicola Sturgeon in my opinion has started, the clock is counting down, when is she saying she is going to go?
The Campaign for Human Rights at Glasgow University