Saturday, June 10, 2017

Nicola Sturgeon’s personal disaster: heavy losses, big hitters like Alex Salmond and Angus Robertson taken out, and the second referendum is now in serious doubt, 2015, SNP get 56 seats, 2017, SNP get 35 seats, and many others hang by a thread, the SNP cult waking up to the fact that an idiot at Westminster will have consequences























Dear All

This blog post isn’t my election special I want to work on that for Monday but in the meantime, wasn’t the General Election result very interesting?

We have a hung parliament, Theresa May gambled and she lost, in Scotland, the Scottish Tories did very well, this was due to in part by them marshalling their forces to key target seats.

This election in Scotland was a different game to what was played on the other side of the border, mainly due to the SNP holding 56 seats in 2015. Within the space of two years, 56 MPs were reduced to 35 MPs. And among the SNP were some very high profile casualties such as Alex Salmond and Angus Robertson, the depute leader.

You may remember in a previous post I said that nominations for a new deputy leader would be opening up.

The defeat is a defeat for Nicola Sturgeon, she maybe sitting with 35 seats, it is the majority, she declared she is the winner but the underlying trend is there, and it is that people have rejected a second independence referendum. It was stupid to think that after 2014, there would be an appetite for this after continued failure in government.

As I said in another previous post, the only game in town is governance, perhaps Nicola Sturgeon will get that through her thick head. The independence issue had been a factor in the losses but there are other problems, the SNP cult had filled Westminster up with a load of idiots, and the idiots became a problem, not just there but also in Scotland.

To be blunt……. You’re paid to work!

The grievance strategy bombed not just in the House of Commons but also in the minds of people, they want to see dialogue, they want to see co-operation and they want to see real change for their benefit.

The SNP has failed to deliver this on all counts.

Nicola Sturgeon lost 21 seats in Thursday’s vote.

And it could have been much worse, if the other parties had got their act together and had the run in of six months at it.

The Scottish Parliament has since voted in favour of the SNP government’s demands for another referendum, but now that idea is toast; beside that being reserved to Westminster, it is also un-winnable.   

Sturgeon said:

“I’m going to reflect carefully on the result. I’m going to take some time to do that.  Like all politicians I’ve now gone 36 hours or more without sleep. I don’t think these are the conditions to rush to judgements or decisions. I will consider carefully the outcome, listen to what voters were saying. “Undoubtedly the issue of an independence referendum was a factor in this election result, but I think there were other factors in this election result as well. I will reflect on that and come to considered judgements.”

Sturgeon’s focus will also be on that the SNP are down from 50 per cent of the popular vote to 37 per cent. Although the SNP had a very successful go at destroying Labour in Scotland, their strategy was flawed, a by-product was people voting Conservative and them not being effective in government at Holyrood.

Deputy First Minister John Swinney said the loss of seats had been partly down to the constitutional issue.

He added:

“We will take time and care to reflect on the outcome of this result, but we have to acknowledge that the question of a second independence referendum was a significant motivator of votes against the SNP in this election and we have to be attentive to that point.”

The only game in town now is governance which means….. George Laird right again.

Tory leader Ruth Davidson:

“This was an election that was dominated by one issue: Nicola Sturgeon’s decision in March to demand a second referendum on independence. We led the opposition to that referendum. The Scottish people spoke. The SNP’s vote down 13 per cent. Nearly half a million votes gone between 2015 and today. Our vote up 13 per cent. The largest share of the vote for the Scottish Conservatives since 1979. “SNP MPs who lost their seats have paid the price or what was a massive political miscalculation on Nicola Sturgeon’s part.”

The SNP by default, sheer stupidity and lack of a work ethic changed the political map of Scotland thinking that they might take a hit of a few seats but that as the ‘new establishment’ they would be like Scottish Labour and have about 50 seats secure.

That as we have seen by other close results is an illusion!

People don’t want gimmicks, they want results, they don’t want stories, they want facts, and the in the cold light of day, these results show that some people although they scrapped into Parliament on a whisker are on a sticky wicket.

I would think that with the hung parliament, Tories and DUP, we will see no election take place before end of Brexit, after Brexit is concluded and depending on the numbers, Theresa May May might go again, but she needs breathing space. She has to get a good deal, she has to show improvement and she has to fix things for people so that life for those at the bottom is less difficult. That being said, some people think that the Tory/DUP coalition will only go six months, and there is talk by some of an October election, May needs to steady the ship.

The next General Election will be a corker, Jeremy Corbyn’s position is secure, but Labour has a load of problems internally to fix, but the direction of travel was pretty positive.

Yours sincerely

George Laird
The Campaign for Human Rights at Glasgow University

10 comments:

Aldo said...

The newly elected Tory, Labour and LibDem MPs in Scotland will need to do a very good job for their constituents. I would hate to think that all of this will be reversed in 6 months or a year when the government collapses and there is a fresh election. Never again can unionist MPs take voters for granted.

G Laird said...

Hi Aldo

You maybe right about another election, some people think we will be back out in six months, time will tell.

Personally, I feel May needs to get Brexit done first.

George

Anonymous said...

Silly woman and traitor to Scotland used like a puppet on a string by the UK and pro-Euro Anti-Brexit mob. Praised up to high heaven by world-wide luvvies and Anti-Brixit MSM. It’s an embarrassment for Scotland that our FM has been used as a useful idiot.

Anonymous said...

George…….. The SNP cult waking up to the fact that having an idiot as leader will have consequences.

Al C said...

Personally I was pretty happy with the outcome, which is great because I was feeling really pessemistic about the choice on offer. But the result?

1) The SNP with the smile wiped off their faces and their position and independence dreams weakened.

2) The narrative that Scotland's vote counts for nothing. Both Scotland and Northern Ireland proving crucial to the result and showing that they matter (despite the faults of the DUP)

3) A decent opposition to hold some of the nonsense cooked up by the Tories to account (foxhunting, dementia tax, no free school meals, i.e. insanity) and hopefully help rein in austerity, which in my opinion, has gone on far too long. We've been missing a good opposition in this country for years.

4) At the same time, the Tories are in position to hopefully deliver Brexit successfully. Personally, I don't like them, but I prefer them to be in charge of exit from the EU, though their manifesto was quite clearly an embarrassment.

I'm hoping there's not another election, because I'm utterly sick of them, but perhaps a lot of people feel this way.

Question is, if Labour got in, would this have weakened Brexit and/or strengthened Sturgeon? Also, do you think that this result weakens Brexit as well, or does it just make no difference?

Bunnyroo7 said...

The Tories and DUP will form a coalition until Brexit is completed, but I doubt there will be an election before then. I also doubt that Theresa May will be allowed to lead her party into the next election. Even if she dismissed the "advisers" who got her into this mess, that she behaved so rashly and squandered such a rare opportunity so fully is politically unforgivable. At the moment emotions are running high. Labour are indulging in a bit of hubris. This isn't a good idea. Had anyone but Corbyn been leading the party they would have been returned with a majority. As it stands, they gained thirty seats -- many with only very narrow majorities. Even a slight improvement by the Conservatives would return them to power with a majority.

Aldo said...

If Theresa May successfully negotiates brexit, it's hard to imagine her being sacked by her party for an election lost years earlier. Also, Boris Johnson cannot replace her. He's a clown who'll give the declining SNP a new lease of life. It has to be Amber Rudd or David Davis.

Freddy said...

Was a good night George another 2000 votes or so would have made it a lot worse for them. I doubt Sturgeon will change that much in approach, and if she does I doubt anyone will believe her. Might have to do it all again in under a year or so at least the DUP wont put the union at risk :) Scottish Labour need to get their act together though and keep the pressure on Sturgeon.

Anonymous said...

SOME GOOD POINTS

G Laird said...

Hi Freddy

The drop in the SNP vote is largely due to them failing to produce at Holyrood, that an selecting a bunch of idiots to send South.

George