Doom and Gloom peddlers, ex PMs Tony Blair and Gordon Brown say no-deal 'would push us off a cliff' if Boris Johnson becomes PM and honours his 31st October promise, given there will be no second referendum, what are the odds on an early general election, hazard a guess and say slightly good?

Dear All

Tomorrow it appears is the big day, for who will be our new Prime Minister, but before the person is elected, the former Prime Ministers Tony Blair and Gordon Brown have issued a warning. The warning is about the dangers of a no-deal Brexit, but is no deal Brexit something to be worried about?

I don’t see that it is myself.

Why do Tony Blair and Gordon Brown want us shackled to the failed EU project?

The EU doesn’t serve countries, they subvert them at every turn, and they don’t serve the people as the recent EU elections which the people didn’t get a vote in show. That was the elections of the EU Presidents, in a totally un-democratic way as highlighted by Ann Widdecombe.

Her maiden speech at the EU Parliament rather puts things in perspective.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HOwRhkWpnuI

Maybe Tony Blair and Gordon Brown missed that?

No, they didn’t miss how the EU operates, in fact, Blair is such a cheerleader and mover and shaker, he was tipped as wanting to get in amongst them for a cosy job. Tony Blair sold out the UK to George W Bush, his track record shows no problem in selling us out to the EU.

What do I expect of a Boris Johnson premiership?

Hopefully Brexit, but the key date is not tomorrow but is and remains 31^st October 2019, on this date if there is no Brexit, Johnson’s goodwill or honeymoon period will be over. The country will be pressing for another early general election. Boris Johnson might risk it if the Labour Party can’t turn itself around from recent troubles. But everything would be a gamble politically, certainly a raft of current MPs would lose their seats, but the question is to whom?

Labour?

The Lib Dems?

The Brexit Party?

Are we staring a bigger hung parliament in the face?

Boris Johnson made a promise to to leave the European Union on October 31 come what may, even if that means a no-deal exit but remember we have heard such promises from Theresa May.

And that didn’t turn out well for her or the country!

Despite being alleged ‘allies’, Boris Johnson needs to neutralize Nigel Farages’ Brexit Party, and any deal that isn’t no deal doesn’t do that. In fact, any deal which isn’t no deal gives Nigel Farage a platform and a big stick to beat Boris Johnson with rather badly. Johnson’s advisors planning a possible election early need to take note of what the coffee smells like.

I don’t agree that a break from Brussels without a deal could be "catastrophic" or see the British economy "pushed off a cliff" because of one simple fact called money. The people who deal in money have a lot invested all over the place and so the UK will not be getting pushed off anything. One thing that the ‘money men’ like is an uninterrupted flow of cash because they have their fingers in a lot of pies on a global basis.

And woe anyone who attempts to screw that up!

The recent election of corrupt failures and crooks into senior places of the EU is to ensure that puppets are in place to have their strings pulled.

Writing in The Times, Blair said another referendum was the best outcome for Mr Johnson, he favours the Irish option; cheat the British people out of our democracy.

Blair added:

"Even before he becomes prime minister this week, Boris Johnson has boxed himself in to a no-deal Brexit. If he doesn't back down from his stated negotiating position, he will fail. No-one knows with certainty the impact of no-deal for the simple reason that no developed nation has ever left overnight its preferential trading arrangements in this manner. It could be merely very difficult or it could be catastrophic."

The key word in his spiel is ‘could’ and likewise ‘could not’ is another possible outcome, he doesn’t know, he has no inside knowledge, he is having a guess.

Given where we are and how we got here, a second referendum is a non starter for the Conservatives; they know the dangers of that betrayal are extreme both inside and outside their party. A general election remains an option but the no love lost between the former prime minister and the left-wing Labour leader doesn’t seem that strong a reason to go to the polls. It would be madness to go into an election without a successful Brexit outcome behind you because you would be fighting on two fronts.

Gordon Brown added something which I don’t agree with, he said that Mr Johnson may be fated to be remembered by history “not as the 55th prime minister of the UK but as the first prime minister of England”. This is a reference to the SNP winning a second Scottish independence referendum, which I seriously doubt. Although people have deserted other parties, it is because of their domestic social policies, not a desire for Nicola Sturgeon’s brand of incompetent government.  Unionist Parties need to get their act together especially the Labour Party in Scotland which is doing rather badly.

Finally, I expect nothing of a Boris Johnson premiership, he is the cuckoo in the nest, he got to be PM because other people wouldn’t do their job. The date to watch which tells a story isn’t tomorrow but the 31^st of October, so mark that in the calendar.

Yours sincerely

George Laird

The Campaign for Human Rights at Glasgow University