As people know, I have joined the Brexit Party campaign as a lead activist in Glasgow and the West of Scotland.
Because above all else, I am a supporter of democracy and our democratic institutions, the problem at present is this, the House of Commons via referendum transferred sovereignty to the people.
When the people transferred sovereignty back to Westminster, the politicians who promised to honour the result reneged on their promise, this created a constitutional crisis in our democracy. We should have left the EU on the 29 March, we didn’t; we have been forced by the rules to take part in the 2019 EU elections, disappointing but necessary.
This leaves people with a choice, who to vote for, which party stands the greatest chance of putting pressure on the UK government. To cut to the chase, the mantle previously held by Ukip, has been passed to The Brexit Party. The Brexit Party in Scotland has been making an impact in this election as their campaign travels around generating interest in the election. The press and the mainstream parties have been particularly low key.
They want their core vote to come out, not the people who voted for Brexit. However, there is a lot of angry people who feel cheated, so the tactic may only be part successful. Last weekend in Glasgow, The Brexit Party stall in Buchanan Street saw more volunteers turn out, it is a sign of change. The response to the stall was very positive, the picture above is me in a debate with a woman who stopped by the stall, she was there with her husband, but he never got a word in. As we chatted a group of people gathered round, the interest was there, and it the debate was lively.
These streets stalls are important, they let people, they haven’t been forgotten, and people care about our democracy. In a recent poll for the EU election, the Brexit Party is beating the Labour Party and the Conservatives combined. This is of course a good sign for the Brexit Party but also for the changing state of politics in the UK. New polling for the upcoming European Parliament elections shows an astonishing surge in support for Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party, in contrast the governing Conservatives have crashed to fourth place on just 11 per cent.
11 per cent!
In ten days, we will be voting, nothing can stop this now and the political earthquake seems to be unstoppable. Despite Theresa May’s efforts, she hasn’t taken her Cabinet, her Party, her government nor Westminster with her. If there is a simple fix to stem the ebbing of support, it must be WTO Brexit.
Nothing can restore support for Theresa May, sadly, she is minded to travel this path, which means her legacy will be damaged as PM.
A Opinium poll of 2,004 people, conducted online between the 8th and 10th of May, showed support for Mr Farage’s weeks-old party up 6 points to 34 per cent. This is in line with the feedback that people are getting in Scotland campaigning. There is huge support for Brexit, and anger, the mainstream parties are looking at their core vote, and live in hope they won’t desert them.
I think the result will be a surprise and a shock.
The Labour Party under Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour is down seven points to 21 per cent, having played a reasonable attempt to sit on the fence; that strategy had to end, it outlived its time and usefulness.
The Labour Party should have back WTO Brexit!
It didn’t and now as opinions harden so they have to prepare for the backlash alongside the Conservatives. If I was in the Conservatives sitting on 11 per cent, I would be gutted, and let us not forget, some Conservatives Associations have told Theresa May, they won’t campaign for her and the party.
Another new party is the Change UK (CUK), their message of a new politics, is basically support the EU and the status quo, they are polling a mere 3 percent. In a nutshell, the Change UK, formerly the TIG Group was a stupid idea, well more than stupid, doomed to disaster, totally unprepared, no network, in the wrong and amateurish.
Nigel Farage said of the new poll:
“Accurate or not, these are great numbers and our movement for democracy is gathering pace.”
Another poll around the same time which appears to show that the public are not only willing to swing behind the Brexit Party to send a message to Brussels and Theresa May. They seem willing to attempt to break with the two-party establishment when electing national lawmakers to the House of Commons. Could you imagine 49 Brexit Party MPs sitting in the House of Commons?
In the aftermath of that earthquake, a swathe of senior Conservatives heavyweights including Cabinet ministers, europhile party chairman Brandon Lewis, and even Boris Johnson would be gone.
But, let’s not get ahead of the real issue now and present which is the EU election, people need to trust our democracy, and the people elected, The Brexit Party is after a huge majority of MEPs, and rightly so, this is about changing politics for good and the better. I was really proud, I fought the 2016 Brexit campaign, a tough campaign with little time, money and people, but despite that, we got a million Scots to vote leave.
The job isn’t finished, so I came back to fight!
The Campaign for Human Rights at Glasgow University