Dear All
They say with age brings wisdom; you could make the case for
that but what if someone goes the other way and starts babbling nonsense? How
do you react to that scenario? You either put up with it, tell them to shut up
or you bolt before they fry you brain with undue stress.
Kenny MacAskill has said the SNP ‘had a good conference with
Nicola Sturgeon’s speech’; the truth is her speech was lacklustre, boring,
devoid of excitement, and an exercise in managing the membership.
If having a good conference equals Nicola Sturgeon parroting
the obligatory sound bites then you can see why the SNP is in such dire
straits. This is a party which doesn’t have a narrative for the future. Brexit
left the SNP leadership high and dry as the UK moves
forward into this new stage of global Britain .
Nicola Sturgeon urging SNP supporters to be patient is a
face saving exercise to buy her time, because since she took over as leader
from Alex Salmond, she has lead the party on a downward spiral.
The polls don’t lie; Nicola Sturgeon has failed as a leader.
To attempt to paint a picture that the SNP are close to
their ultimate goal and it is in sight shows a lack of failure to grasp
reality, and while this continues with Sturgeon at the helm, their problems in
and out of government just increase.
One funny little story going the rounds is that the Glasgow
South SNP MP has said that the SNP would support a minority Labour government,
in exchange for getting rid of nuclear weapons. Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has
rejected any possibility of a pact.
The UK isn’t
going to get rid of nuclear weapons.
If you know anything about politics, the only good thing
about the SNP Conference for Nicola Sturgeon is that it is over. MacAskill says
that internal party discipline remains strong, well given the SNP operates like
a cult, a party within a party, you would find this no surprise. The real
problem for the SNP is not those who are in the cult but those members who are
on the outside, the ‘worker bees’. Sturgeon’s problems have only been shunted
down the line to the next trial by fire, the next SNP Conference.
Although the Cult manages the agenda of the Conference, the
dissent will spill over into the fringe events first; then will come protests
outside. People will abandon the SNP and drift towards the Yes Movement which
will want to keep the SNP at arms length.
The SNP Conference was the same as usual, the bogeyman was
the Conservatives, with the SNP; the bogeyman is always going to be the
Conservatives. In what must be hype, hope or delusion, the former justice
minster said ‘Independence has
to be won but the union’s no longer so safe and secure’.
What he fails to grasp is that there is a new UK emerging
post Brexit!
There is a new UK emerging post Brexit which
the SNP have no part in developing, they are bystanders as the Constitution
evolves, this leaves the SNP unable to win independence because future changes
will leave them more isolated politically.
Having gone from 56 MPs to 35 MPs, in two years, the
direction of travel doesn’t place them in the driving seat.
On the issue of the wee silly marches, Kenny MacAskill
thinks that the recent Edinburgh march
was somehow a success, in that it was a ‘huge and symbolic event’, no, it
wasn’t huge and it wasn’t symbolic either. Saying this march galvanised the
cause as well as the conference is laughable, this SNP Conference was haunted
the spectre of one man who wasn’t there, Alex Salmond.
Alex Salmond, the ghost in the hall, the elephant not welcomed
in the room, the man of roubles. At present, he has his own troubles to contend
with;
One thing which will have read from me is that the next
Holyrood election is the most important since the parliament opened, which is
why there is the major argument for an early independence date with the
prospect that pro UK parties
will hold the majority of seats in the Scottish Parliament post-2021.
How long have I been going on about the 2021 election and
what is means?
Ages!!!!!!!!
Nicola Sturgeon cannot get a Section 30 order in this term
of Holyrood, and if it all goes pear shaped, post 2021, she might have enough
seats for minority government but at present not enough support in the
parliament to get a referendum bill through.
Where does that leave the SNP post 2021?
How long will the SNP members listen to Nicola Sturgeon’s
appeal for “Perseverance, Pragmatism and Patience” before they openly call for
new leadership and her removal, Salmond fell on his rubber sword, but will a coup
force Sturgeon out?
Finally, Kenny MacAskill highlights something which we all
know, he says the SNP need to get a grip of problems in the public services,
which the SNP effectively paid lip service to as they ran off to chase indy.
The problem is that the SNP don’t have a vision for public services, just as
they don’t have a vision for independence beyond hype.
The result of the next Holyrood election is becoming the new
priority for Scotland as
it is effectively ‘game over’ for Brexit, we are leaving. The fact the SNP is
stuck fighting Brexit when they can’t change it shows this is a party out of
steam, the SNP make no impact at Westminster beyond
their foolish petty childish antics, amazingly they think this passes for
strategy.
For the SNP, the challenge is how to deal with the post
Sturgeon landscape.
Yours sincerely
George Laird
The Campaign for Human Rights at Glasgow University
2 comments:
Interesting. Do you think that this means that the indy movement is about to fracture? And what do you think post-Brexit Britain would mean for the indy movement, and Scotland as well as the UK? Because I've wondered if a lot of the indy crowd has been driven by many people wanting change, and that change might end up being delivered for them by Brexit instead. That could be nonsense, but the thought has occurred to me that in the case of a few, that may actually be so.
When will those seeking Independence realise that once out of the Uk union they will have to apply to join the EU. Do they honestly think that they will be able to meet the fiscal requirements?
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